The Hennessey at newbury

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Post  Durham on Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:21 pm

Race this weekend. Can Paul Nichols win the big race on a Saturday for the fifth week running?


9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/10 – Had run at Newbury before (5 had won over fences there)
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
8/10 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
7/10 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 140 and 151
7/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
7/10 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/10 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
5/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Had a previous run that season
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (22 runnings) there have been 11 winners (50%) aged 7 years-old

Back later with my selections
Durham
Durham
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Post  Shady on Thu Nov 29, 2012 6:11 pm

@Durham wrote:Race this weekend. Can Paul Nichols win the big race on a Saturday for the fifth week running?


9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/10 – Had run at Newbury before (5 had won over fences there)
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
8/10 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
7/10 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 140 and 151
7/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
7/10 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/10 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
5/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Had a previous run that season
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (22 runnings) there have been 11 winners (50%) aged 7 years-old

Back later with my selections

Good afternoon Durham.

Thanks for the info & I may have a small wager.

Here's my final selections for William Hill's The Jumps competition,which I had to alter to comply with the rules:

1.AL FEROF
2.SPRINTER SACRE
3.SANCTUAIRE
4.TIDAL BAY
5.CINDERS AND ASHES
6.WAAHEB
7.QUEVEGA
8.FLEMENSTAR
9.BOSTON BOB
10.SILVINIACO CONTI

Sprinter Sacre is my stable star and only one stable star is allowed per entry,so I had to get rid of Sir Des Champs & Bobs Worth....Still I look forward to receiving my cheque for £100,000 next March.lol!
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Post  Durham on Thu Nov 29, 2012 10:00 pm

@Shady wrote:

Good afternoon Durham.

Thanks for the info & I may have a small wager.

Here's my final selections for William Hill's The Jumps competition,which I had to alter to comply with the rules:

1.AL FEROF
2.SPRINTER SACRE
3.SANCTUAIRE
4.TIDAL BAY
5.CINDERS AND ASHES
6.WAAHEB
7.QUEVEGA
8.FLEMENSTAR
9.BOSTON BOB
10.SILVINIACO CONTI

Sprinter Sacre is my stable star and only one stable star is allowed per entry,so I had to get rid of Sir Des Champs & Bobs Worth....Still I look forward to receiving my cheque for £100,000 next March.lol!


Good evening commander.

That looks a good stable you have picked and I am sure it is a tough banging act.

Lets hope they all run often enough in good races for you and that they score many points
Durham
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Post  Shady on Fri Nov 30, 2012 1:26 am

@Durham wrote:


Good evening commander.

That looks a good stable you have picked and I am sure it is a tough banging act.

Lets hope they all run often enough in good races for you and that they score many points

What's your selections Durham? Inspite of your stats,I'm leaning towards Tidal Bay.
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Location : Closer than you think.

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Post  Durham on Fri Nov 30, 2012 7:47 pm

@Shady wrote:

What's your selections Durham? Inspite of your stats,I'm leaning towards Tidal Bay.
A
Good luck commander - I also backed tidal at the start of the week due to the Nichols factor, and it should like the ground

The favourite looks very solid at 4/1 for nicky Henderson

Bu I shall chance Harry the Viking at 20/1 and first liuetenant at 10/1.

With 19 runners, it pays to have a few on your side IMO
Durham
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Post  Durham on Sat Dec 01, 2012 6:21 pm

Another triumph!!!

Out if the 4 horses mentioned we had the winner at 4:1 SP but I backed at 5/1 last night and the second and third - both round about 10-12/1

If you backed all the 4 horses mentioned out of 19 runners, you would have been very happy and made a nice little profit for some drinks and scran tonight.
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