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The Beecher chase at aintree

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Post  Durham Thu Dec 06, 2012 7:18 am

Well after last weeks winner (5/1 recommended) and some good prices each way alternatives that got placed (3/4 horses mentioned won or placed from 19 runners) we try again with this weeks big race from aintree

The Becher Chase is run at Aintree racecourse over the historic Grand National-style fences and, therefore, provides punters with some early-season clues ahead of the world’s most famous steeplechase.

Run over the 3m2f the race has been won three times since 2004 by champion trainer Paul Nicholls, while Silver Birch and Amberleigh House are recent winners of the Becher Chase then went on later in their careers to land the Grand National too.

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton looks back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2012 renewal.



Recent Becher Chase Winners

2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – HELLO BUD (15/2 fav)
2009 – VIC VENTURI (7/1)
2008 – BLACK APALACHI (15/2)
2007 – MR POINTMENT (15/2)
2006 - EUROTREK (25/1)
2005 - GARVIVONNIAN (33/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (4/1 fav)
2003 – CLAN ROYAL (11/2)
2002 – ARDENT SCOUT (14/1)



Becher Chase 10 Year Trends

8/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/10 – Irish bred
8/10 – Had no more than 1 start this season
7/10 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or less
7/10 – Aged 9 or older
7/10 – Officially rated between 123-138
7/10 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/10 – Had raced at Aintree before
6/10 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
5/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
4/10 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 - Won by an Irish-based trainer
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/10 – Won onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 4 times since 1993

I will be back on with suggestions following final declarations for the race
Durham
Durham
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Post  Durham Sat Dec 08, 2012 10:53 am

This weeks short list is westerns rocker at 6/1, big fella thanks at. 9/1 with incompliance and Ballyvessey also of interest (14/1 and 40/1)
Durham
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Post  Durham Sat Dec 08, 2012 3:21 pm

Second and third for us this week - at reasonable EW prices
Durham
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Post  Shady Sat Dec 08, 2012 4:05 pm

Durham wrote:Second and third for us this week - at reasonable EW prices

Good afternoon Durham.

Sorry that you didn't pick the winner but did you see Sprinter Sacre win his race? He absolutely thrashed the opposition which is good for me as he is in my 'The Jumps' stable

So he's added points to the two seconds that I picked up last weekend & tomorrow,Flemenstar who is also in the stable runs in Ireland.

Durham........I can smell that 100 grand already:).....What do you reckon?
Shady
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Post  Durham Sat Dec 08, 2012 4:08 pm

Shady wrote:

Good afternoon Durham.

Sorry that you didn't pick the winner but did you see Sprinter Sacre win his race? He absolutely thrashed the opposition which is good for me as he is in my 'The Jumps' stable

So he's added points to the two seconds that I picked up last weekend & tomorrow,Flemenstar who is also in the stable runs in Ireland.

Durham........I can smell that 100 grand already:).....What do you reckon?

Yes I watched sprinter commander. I had a double on sprinter sacre and captain Conan - two impressive winners.

Flemenstar should win tomorrow and nothing is going to touch sprinter over jumps. How many unbeaten can it go?

Good luck with your stable commander
Durham
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Post  Shady Sat Dec 08, 2012 5:10 pm

Durham wrote:

Yes I watched sprinter commander. I had a double on sprinter sacre and captain Conan - two impressive winners.

Flemenstar should win tomorrow and nothing is going to touch sprinter over jumps. How many unbeaten can it go?

Good luck with your stable commander

Sorry about the delay in replying Durham but I've just finished feeding my fat face.

Yes I considered the same double as you but the poor prices put me off, but good for you for winning.

Regarding Flemenstar,well he's got it all to do to beat Sir Des Champs & with regards to Sprinter Sacre.......well it was one hell of an impressive win.So I think he'll go from strength to strength.
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